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PROBABILISTIC EVENTS AND PHYSICAL REALITY: A COMPLETE ALGEBRA OF PROBABILITY
Probability foundations random events
2008/4/22
This contribution derives from a rather extensive study on the foundations of probability. We start by discussing critically the two main models of the random event in Probability Theory and cast ligh...
Probability in the Everett World: Comments on Wallace and Greaves
Everett probability quantum mechanics many worlds
2008/4/22
It is often objected that the Everett interpretation of QM cannot make sense of quantum probabilities, in one or both of two ways: either it can’t make sense of probability at all, or it can’t explain...
Probability, Arrow of Time and Decoherence
time asymmetry of probabilities decoherent histories
2008/4/22
This paper relates both to the metaphysics of probability and to the physics of time asymmetry. Using the formalism of decoherent histories, it investigates whether intuitions about intrinsic time dir...
The Everett (many-worlds) interpretation of quantum mechanics faces a prima facie problem concerning quantum probabilities. Research in this area has been fast-paced over the last few years, following...
While there is no universal logic of induction, the probability calculus succeeds as a logic of induction in many contexts through its use of several notions concerning inductive inference. They inclu...
The main difficulty facing no-collapse theories of quantum mechanics in the Everettian tradition concerns the role of probability within a theory in which every possible outcome of a measurement actua...
GRW Theory postulates a stochastic mechanism assuring that every so often the wave function of a quantum system is `hit', which leaves it in a localised state. How are we to interpret the probabilitie...
Probability in modal interpretations of quantum mechanics
Modal interpretations quantum theory probability
2008/4/22
Modal interpretations have the ambition to construe quantum mechanics as an objective, man-independent description of physical reality. Their second leading idea is probabilism: quantum mechanics does...
Quantum Probability from Subjective Likelihood: improving onDeutsch's proof of the probability rule
Everett Probability Decision Theory
2008/4/22
I present a proof of the quantum probability rule from decision-theoretic assumptions, in the context of the Everett interpretation. The basic ideas behind the proof are those presented in Deutsch's r...
We develop and defend the thesis that the Hilbert space formalism of quantum mechanics is a new theory of probability. The theory, like its classical counterpart, consists of an algebra of events, and...
Quantum Probability and Decision Theory, Revisited
Quantum Mechanics Everett Interpretation
2008/4/22
An extended analysis is given of the program, originally suggested by Deutsch, of solving the probability problem in the Everett interpretation by means of decision theory. Deutsch's own proof is disc...
Reliability via Synthetic A Priori –Reichenbach’s Doctoral Thesis on Probability
foundations of probability causality induction
2008/4/22
Reichenbach is well known for his limiting frequency view of probability, with his most thorough account given in The Theory of Probability in 1935/49. Perhaps less known are Reichenbach's early views...
Special relativity is most naturally formulated as a theory of spacetime geometry, but within the spacetime framework probability appears to be a purely epistemic notion. It is possible that progress ...
There is a strong connection, in our world, between symmetry and probability. We often rely on symmetries to infer the probabilities of different possible outcomes, both their objective chances and ou...
The Third Way on Objective Probability: A Skeptic's Guide to Objective Chance
Probability Chance Humeanism David Lewis
2008/4/21
The goal of this paper is to sketch and defend a new interpretation or ‘theory’ of objective chance, one that lets us be sure such chances exist and shows how they can play the roles we traditionally ...