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Methodology for estimating the probability of failure by sliding in concrete gravity dams in the context of risk analysis
Dam safety Structural reliability Risk analysis Numerical modeling
2012/4/26
Dam safety based on risk analysis methodologies demand quantification of the risk of the dam-reservoir system. This means that, for a given initial state of the system, and for the several failure mod...
Estimating separation distance loss probability between aircraft in uncontrolled airspace in simulation
Uncontrolled airspace Collision probability Statistics Rare event Quantile estimation Importance splitting
2012/4/12
In this article, collision probability between aircraft in uncontrolled airspace is estimated. For that purpose, a large database of aircraft trajectories in the vicinity of Saint-Cyr-l扙cole airfield ...
Study on probability distribution of fire scenarios in risk assessment to emergency evacuation
Risk assessment Fire scenario Event tree Monte Carlo simulation Evacuation
2012/4/22
Event tree analysis (ETA) is a frequently-used technique to analyze the probability of probable fire scenario. The event probability is usually characterized by definite value. It is not appropriate t...